NO HINDSIGHT

Every call is sealed before the market answers.

t₀Event

A company files with the SEC, or its stock moves sharply.

t₁Price

Noa, our AI, states three probabilities: up, flat, down. They sum to one.

t₂Seal

The call is locked where no one can alter it, stamped by a third party's clock.

t₃Answer

The market settles the question at the stated time.

t₄Score

Σ (p − o)² against what happened. A miss counts as plainly as a hit.

t₁ ≤ t₂ < t₃

For every call. Anyone given read access can check it, call by call.

The rule for money

real money ⇐500 graded calls ∧scored better than a forecaster with no information ∧stated confidence that matches results ∧no risk limit hit

Sealed before the first call. Every increase in size is decided by a person.